INDC

New Oxfam-commissioned research, carried out by Climate Analytics, uses modelling to assess the impact of aggregate Intended Nationally Determined Contributions (INDCs) ambition. The technical specifications and calibration of the models used are explained in this paper. 

This report is an independent review assessing the commitments that have been proposed ahead of COP21, this December in Paris. It shows that there is still a big gap between these proposals and what it will take to avoid catastrophic climate change and presents recommendations on how  this could be changed.

The 150 countries that have now publicly committed to carbon reduction pledges show that December’s UN climate summit in Paris could, at last, be built on international cooperation rather than competition. 

The India climate action plan for Paris announced today contains the headline pledge to cut the carbon intensity of its economy by 33-35% by 2030. 

South Africa has today tabled its climate action plan for Paris, committing to put a lid on rising emissions through to 2030. How low they are able to plateau will depend on international support meaning so climate finance will be key to unlock greater ambition, says Oxfam.

Oxfam welcomes the ambitious Intended Nationally Determined Contribution (INDC) from Ethiopia, as it sets far-reaching short-term and long-term goals on adaptation and reducing emissions.

Oxfam is deeply disappointed by Japan’s lack of ambition.  Setting a draft target of 26% emissions reduction below 2013 levels (18% below 1990 levels) by 2030 is woefully inadequate.